Tuesday

Bellu - optimistic about his team


"At this point we are after the third training session, including the official one that took place on Tuesday afternoon, the only one with this character, considering the large number of teams. What can I say? The girls are not "unleashed" yet, but will do it in the coming days, we continue a program with two daily training sessions until the 16th, when the championship begins. The days that have passed have represented the first contact, during practice there were achievements and failures but this seems to be the general situation, from what i have seen. We have four days until a full shift in the engines, period during which, day by day, we will surely reach the desired physical condition".

Romania - Podium Training


These are all updates offered by TessaW, who posted an extended coverage on Online Sports Forum. Thank you Tessa!

-Sandra Izbasa has a triple twist as a dismount from BB, has upgraded the last pass of her floor routine and is able to stuck a double twisting Yurchenko
- Diana Chelaru has put back in her floor routine the double layout
-Amelia Racea and Raluca Haidu both do double twisting Yurchenkos

The training seems to have been full of wobbles and mistakes but, in the end, it's only a training session isn't it?


Monday

Larisa Iordache wins four (out of five) finals in Schiltigheim

(www.romgym.ro)

Per www.romgym.ro the competition took place in Alsace region (Bas Rhin department - near Strasbourg) and Romania was represented by Larisa Iordache, Maria Balea, Diana Trenca and Dana Andrei.

The all around contest was won by Larisa Iordache (by a considerable margine):
1) Larisa Iordache- 58.000
2) Dana Andrei - 54.750
3) Diana Trenca - 52.900
View complete results here .

In the events finals, Larisa won uneven bars, beam and floor and was second on vault (she had the same mark as Elodie Perez but a tie-breaker put her in second);
Dana Andrei was second on floor and uneven bars, third on vault and fourth on beam;
Diana Trenca was second on balance beam and third on uneven bars;
Maria Balea was third on floor, with 13.8 (5.6).

I have found videos of Larisa Iordache: vault, uneven bars, beam, floor

There are more on youtube, on eipos24's channel.

Saturday

2010 Worlds Team Contenders - China

(International Gymnast)

This is the final part of the series "Team Conterders" and the most difficult, for me. The D scores are the ones from the Chinese Nationals that were held in the end of August, combined with the ones the gymnasts had in the beginning of the summer 2010 (for the ones that couldn't compete their full routines or did not compete at all). Secondly, the E scores I gave are an optimistic evaluation of where they should be now compared to August.

An overview of their team first:
Jiang Yuyuan - her D scores are: VT-5.8/ UB-7.2 / BB-6.1 / FX- 5.8; with such difficulty she could challenge for the AA title, but her execution on UB and BB make her lose valuable points.
Huang Qiushuang - her D scores: VT- 5.8 / UB-7.1 / BB - 5.9 / FX-5.4; her strengths are the vault, the uneven bars routine and the presentation on floor; her weaknesses: the inconsistency on uneven bars and the balance beam
Yang Yilin - her D scores: VT-5.8 / UB-6.5 / BB-5.2 / FX-?; strengths: flawless execution/ weakness: lower D scores
Sui Lu - D scores: VT-5 / UB-5.4 / BB-6.9 / FX-5.9; strengths - will probably be one of the favorites to win the EF on BB and FX; weakness - low D scores and quite bad execution on the other two events
He Kexin: D scores: UB-7.4 (or so I've heard)
Deng Linlin: She has not competed in the last competitions; D scores: VT-? / UB-? / BB-6.8 / FX-?

So, here is my line-up:
Vault:
Huang Qiushuang: 14.45 (5.8/8.65)
Jiang Yuyuan: 14.4 (5.8/8.6)
Yang Yilin: 14.1 (5.8/8.3)

alternative:
- none that I know of, I think He Kexin and Sui Lu have only 5.0 SV; I do not know what Deng Linin is capable of.

Uneven Bars:
Yang Yilin: 15 (6.5/8.5)
Huang Qiushuang: 15.5 (7.1/8.4)
He Kexin: 16 (7.4/8.6)

Alternative:
Jiang Yuyuan: 15.2 (7.2/8)

Balance Beam
Yang Yilin: 14.1 (5.2/8.9)
Deng Linlin: 15.3 (6.8/8.5)
Sui Lu: 15.6 (6.9/8.7)

Alternative:
-Jiang Yuyuan: 14.5 (6.2/8.3)

Floor
Huang Qiushuang: 13.9 (5.4/8.5)
Jiang Yuyuan: 14.3 (5.8/8.5)
Sui Lu: 14.4 (5.9/8.5)

Alternative:
- Deng Linlin (?)

Conclusion: Team China is able to get a score around 176... If something did not change dramatically consistence wise since August we might see 2-3 falls, at least. If they have a good day, they can score more than that.

What do you think?

Friday

Romania: last simulated contest before Worlds


These are excerpts from an article by Mirela Neag and Roxana Fleseru published in Gazeta Sporturilor.

Octavian Bellu and Mariana Bitang have scheduled a workout yesterday in conditions of maximum stress to check their athletes' ability to concentrate. The coaches have tried to simulate the conditions under which the gymnasts will have to compete in Ahoy arena: moments of absolute silence alternated with noise and music.

At 12:00, Sandra Izbasa, Cerasela Patrascu, Ana Porgras, Diana Chelaru, Amelia Race and Gabriela Dragoi and Raluca Haidu were present in the gym at the Olympic Complex Izvorani. Wearing the new costumes, in shades of white and black, dotted here and there with silver sequins. In the first 45 minutes, the girls warmed-up in turn on all apparatuses. They started with the beam, then on vault, uneven bars and floor. In silence. From time to time you could hear the advices given by Bellu and Bitang, and the gymnasts' cheers.

At 12:45 the "competition" started. A workout under the competition conditions. Of time and stress. Each gymnast has tried to imagine how it would be in competition. They started with uneven bars. Order: Haidu, Patrascu, Racea, Porgras, Chelaru*. While they were flying between the two bars, the other girls were on floor. It was not flawless, but it's only a rehearsal. There is room for missing the bar or a fall from beam, some steps out of bounce and less than perfect landings on vault.

Mariana Bitang** has decided not to accompany the delegation at the World Championships in the Netherlands. Only Octavian Bellu will go, but he will not have access to the competition area. "We decided it was better for me to remain in Romania to take care of the girls who will not go to the Worlds and make a selection for the national team. I will focus on the girls that turn 16 in 2012, the year the London Olympics" said the coach. She also said that only three coaches have the right to enter the competition area and the coaches that have worked with the girls before their return to the National team will be there.

A world medal, especially gold, is not ready in two to three months, as we had. I hope the girls will want a medal more than their coaches. Mariana Bitang

I feel I have progressed compared to the Nationals. At the Worlds we will be a team. I hope I will be able to do my routines and to show as much confidence as possible. At this moment I am at almost 70 percent of my potential. Ana Porgras

I do not promise anything, I won't say big words. I want to make a a nice competition and on the floor, to have a very clean routine. Sandra Izbasa

We need confidence and to be able to make our best routines. This is the Worlds and there can be many surprises. Cerasela Patrascu

We do not target these Worlds, but to present ourselves well in 2011 and, and at London Olympics particularly. Hopefully though, in Rotterdam, the girls will reach top form. Octavian Bellu

It will be a great tension. It's my first World. I hope I will be able to do my best. Raluca Haidu

*Where is Gabi Dragoi? I guess this says a lot about Amelia's reserve status

Wednesday

2010 Worlds Team Contenders - Romania


This is part three of a little game I call "team contenders". Why is Romania on the mix? Because it has always been there(!); the fact that I am Romanian also helped.
The following scores are based on the the competitions they had in September and, of course, on the nominative list, so Amelia Racea was not taken into account.

So, here is what I think Bellu will do:

Vault:
Sandra Izbasa: 14.1 (5.3/8.8)
Cerasela Patrascu: 14 (5.3/8.7)
Diana Chelaru: 14.4 (5.8/8.6)

alternative
- Raluca Haidu 14.2 (5.8/8.4)- this may be a higher score but unless she manages to land this vault constantly, we are not going to see it in the team finals

Uneven Bars
Raluca Haidu: 14 (5.6/8.4)
Cerasela Patrascu: 14.4 (5.8/8.6)
Ana Porgras: 14.6 (6.2/8.4 or 6/8.6)

alternative
Gabriela Dragoi: 14.3 (5.9/8.4) - I put her routine as an alternative although could score better than Haidu because it has been too inconsistent

Balance Beam
Sandra Izbasa: 14.2 (5.7/8.5)
Gabriela Dragoi: 14.5 (5.9/8.6)
Ana Porgras: 15.2 (6.5/8.7)

alternatives
- Raluca Haidu 14.7 (6.2/8.5) - we might see this routine instead of Sandra's but I doubt Bellu will make such a risky move
- Cerasela Patrascu 14.4 (5.7/8.7)

Floor
Ana Porgras: 14.2 (5.6/8.6)
Diana Chelaru: 14.2 (5.7/8.5)
Sandra Izbasa: 14.5 (5.8/8.7)

Alternative
- none that can score above 14

As you may have noticed, the gymnasts I put as "alternates", could get higher scores than the ones that I think will be competing. I have seen Gabi Dragoi hitting only one UB routine this month, Raluca Haidu has big confidence issues on beam and doesn't always land her double twisting Yurchenko so I chose the safest routines over the potentially higher score but less consistent execution.

Conclusion: Romania's total can be somewhere between 172 -173.
What do you consider their true potential is?

Tuesday

2010 Worlds Team Contenders - Russia

(Photo by Luiza B)

I will continue my team contenders (silly) little game with Russia. The scores I came up with are based on the friendly meet they had with Spain and Netherlands in September. I think it's a good measure of their potential. So here is who I'd pick:

Vault:
Ksenia Afanasyeva: 14.6 (5.8/8.8)
Tania Nabieva: 15 (6.5/8.5)
Aliya Mustafina: 15.5 (6.5/9)

Alternative:
Anna Myzdrikova: 14.4 (5.6/8.8)

Uneven Bars:
Ekaterina Kurbatova: 14.6 (5.9/8.7)
Aliya Mustafina: 15. 4 (6.7/8.7)
Tania Nabieva: 15.6 (6.8/8.8)

Alternative:
Ksenia Semenova: 14.3 (6/8.3)

Balance Beam:
Aliya Mustafina: 14.1 (5.6/8.5)
Ksenia Semenova 14.5 (5.8/8.7)
Ksenia Afanasyeva: 14.5 (6/8.5)

Alternative:
Tania Nabieva 14.1 (5.7/8.4)

Floor
Tania Nabieva: 14.1 (5.5/8.6)
Ksenia Afanasyeva: 14.4 (5.9/8.5)
Aliya Mustafina: 14.5 (5.8/8.6)

Alternative
Anna Myzdrikova: 14 (5.6/8.4)

Conclusion: The team total would be somewhere near 179. There is one thing we can't be sure of - Nabieva's Amanar, her execution could make the difference for Russia.
What do you think, is this too much?

Monday

Lavinia Milosovici interview



(photo from Romania Libera)
This is the translation of an interview with the title "Lavinia Milosovici, the tragedy of a great champion" published by Romania Libera on October 1st:

Lavinia, you have withdrawn from the public eye lately. You felt the need to isolate yourself?
I did not isolate myself from anyone. I am referring to friends, acquaintances, family. Let's say I do not want to appear in the press. I am not obliged to share my personal problems with anybody. Especially since I said some things and they were written or came out completely different.

What are you doing now? Did you think to start coaching again?
For now I am not doing anything special. Maybe I will be a coach again but so far I didn't think about doing anything in that direction.

Still, you loved being a coach...
Indeed, I loved working with children. I also coached at the national team in 2000- 2001 for about eight months. I thought then that I should leave others, more experienced do it. So I came to Timisoara and I started working with children. This lasted until 2004 when I gave birth and then I had those problems (her daughter was born prematurely, through c-section, having a weight of 1.1 Kilos. The baby had not developed enough and was born with neurological problems; Lavinia desperately fought to heal her, in 2007 taking her to China for a surgery).

If they offered a coaching position now, would you go back to the national team?
A while back I had some attempts of doing something, but I was mocked. I don't want to comment on this subject.

Did the 2002 scandal, with the pictures that were published in the Japanese magazines, affected your career as a coach?
I didn't have anything to do with elite gymnastics at that moment. The scandal affected me as a human being because I saw the way people reacted and I'm not referring to family and friends.

We could say that you are one of our more long-lasting gymnasts, considering that you retired at 21. How can you explain the fact that now our gymnasts retire a while before turning 20?
I would rather not comment on other's decisions because every person acts in her/ his best interest. Since I retired, many things have changed in gymnastics. First of all we were seniors at 14, while now they become seniors the year they turn 16 so they are fretted for two years in the junior's competitions. On the other hand now you can focus on one apparatus while we had to compete on four apparatuses first in order to make it to the finals and only then we could choose our favorite event where we could compete for the title. It seems to be easier now but I repeat, each person acts in their best interest.

Some say that gymnastics cripple the children, so the parents really stopped allowing their children to do this harmful sport. What do you think about such rumours?
I would say that gymnastics is a beautiful complex sport and we can find elements of gymnastics in other sports as well. It is indeed as difficult as any other sport such as football or tennis at the elite level because it involves the same sacrifices: lots of work, endless training camps, stress.

You are one of the gymnasts that had many problems with the spine, since you were competing. If you could turn back time, would you still choose gymnastics?
Indeed I was always in pain when I competed and I always had contractures. I usually had a bandage under the leotard. At 18 I found out that I had serious problems and although I shouldn't have been allowed to do gymnastics, I continued. I knew my routines very well and I wanted to go to the Olympics. Last year I found out that I actually had a fracture and I could have been paralysed. If I could turn back time, I would still do gymnastics but not if someone told me I could remain in a wheelchair. In the end, your health is more important than anything.

Do people still recognize you on the street?
Yes and this makes me happy. Very often, people stop me on the street to tell me that I look like someone they know - that being me.


Saturday

2010 Worlds Top Team Contenders - USA


Remember the tables I was talking about in one of my previous posts? I decided to publish them, even if I can barely make up my mind and I don't know a great deal about the COP. So if you read this and disapprove (or even if you agree), please take a moment and leave comment. I appreciate it!
I will start randomly with the US. What I wrote is based only on the nominative list and the US Nationals. Things must have changed slightly since then, plus the actual members of th US team can and will probably be different in Rotterdam.

So here is what seems to be the TF round up for US:
Vault:
Ali Raisman 14.6 (5.8/8.8)
Kytra Hunter 14.7(5.8/8.9)
Alicia Sacramone 15 (6.3/8.7)

alternative:
Rebecca Bross 14.6 (5.8/8.8)

Uneven Bars:
Mattie Larson 14.5 (6/8.5)
Rebecca Bross 14.7 (6.2/8.5)
Mackenzie Caquatto 14.8 (6.4/8.4)

alternative:
- none that can realistically score above 14

Balance Beam:
Ali Raisman 14 (6(?)/8) - but let's face it, this is as iffy as it gets
Alicia Sacramone 14.6 (6/8.6)
Rebecca Bross 15.1 (6.4/8.7)

alternative:
- none that can realistically score above 14

Floor:
Kytra Hunter 14.4 (5.8/8.6)
Rebecca Bross 14.6 (6.1/8.5)
Mattie Larson 14.8 (5.9/8.7)

alternative:
-Ali Raisman 14.4 (5.8/8.6)

Note: the scores are the maximum I think these gymnasts can score without wobbles or falls

As a conclusion, the US team can score between 175 and 176... That is a fairly good total. The bad news is that if anything happens between uneven bars and beam, they don't have anyone capable of scoring above 14.

What do you think? Are my predictions too pessimistic or too optimistic?